Probability: Difference between revisions

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(Probability: WIP. Don't shoot the messenger.)
 
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=== Chance of drawing from a subset (tsumo chance) ===
=== Chance of drawing from a subset (tsumo chance) ===
S = 1 - notS; notS = ({Sum: (tile=0 to 33)} numCopies(tile) / remTiles)^remDraws<sub>E</sub>
S = 1 - notS; notS = ({Sum: (tile=0 to 33)} numCopies(tile) / remTiles)<sup>remDraws<sub>E</sub></sup>


=== Chance of calling a final tile from a subset (ron chance) ===
=== Chance of calling a final tile from a subset (ron chance) ===
R = 1 - notR; notR = ({Sum: (tile=0 to 33)} numCopies(tile) / remTiles)^(remDraws<sub>E</sub> - remDraws<sub>X</sub>)
R = 1 - notR; notR = ({Sum: (tile=0 to 33)} numCopies(tile) / remTiles)<sup>(remDraws<sub>E</sub> - remDraws<sub>X</sub>)</sup>


=== Chance of winning (raw chance, at tenpai stage) ===
=== Chance of winning (raw chance, at tenpai stage) ===